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Church of Virus BBS   General   Free For All   Win Landsburg's Money « previous next » Pages: [1]      Author  Topic: Win Landsburg's Money  (Read 1664 times) David Lucifer Archon Posts: 2642 Reputation: 8.49 Rate David Lucifer Enlighten me. Win Landsburg's Money « on: 2011-01-02 13:37:20 » This is fun>> http://www.thebigquestions.com/2010/12/27/win-landsburgs-money/ I bet Steve $100 that he is wrong, and just confirmed the bet via email. I have great respect for Landsburg, I have read and enjoyed all of his books. I know Steve is smarter than me but I'm betting that the engineers at Google are collectively smarter than Steve. This should be interesting. Report to moderator   Logged David Lucifer Archon Posts: 2642 Reputation: 8.49 Rate David Lucifer Enlighten me. Re:Win Landsburg's Money « Reply #1 on: 2011-01-04 11:09:18 » Updated here >> http://www.thebigquestions.com/2011/01/04/status-of-the-bets/ Quote: David McFadzean was initially in for $100, but changed his mind after a few rounds of friendly email. He and I seem to be in complete agreement about the answer, though he expressed some reservations about whether that answer differs “significantly” from 50%. In negotiating specifics of the bet Steve revised his expectation to .4999999975 for an initial population of 10 million. That's close enough to 50% for me so I consider that a win. Steve got me to agree that it was less than 50% so that's a win for him. Report to moderator   Logged Fritz Adept Gender: Posts: 1746 Reputation: 7.84 Rate Fritz Re:Win Landsburg's Money « Reply #2 on: 2011-01-04 13:10:31 » Yah but; 1 out of 1 doctors questioned told me there is a 2% bias in the general population to female. Cheers Fritz Report to moderator   Logged Where there is the necessary technical skill to move mountains, there is no need for the faith that moves mountains -anon- Pages: [1]   Jump to:Please select a destination: ----------------------------- General ----------------------------- =>Announcements =>Evolution and Memetics =>FAQ =>Church Doctrine =>Science & Technology =>Society & Culture =>Arts & Entertainment =>Philosophy & Religion =>Humor & Satire =>Creative Endeavors =>Serious Business =>Virian Book Club =>Second Life =>Free For All =>Infections =>Suggestion Box =>Test Area ----------------------------- Mailing List ----------------------------- =>Virus 2006 =>Virus 2005 =>Virus 2004 =>Virus 2003

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