virus: odds

Snow Leopard (juliet784@hotmail.com)
Thu, 06 May 1999 05:17:09 PDT

You wanted to see the odds.

Premises:
God cares about us.
He's about as narrow-minded as I am. (One set of truths) God is Powerful enough to let me know.

God cares:
Extrovert and altruistic
Statistically, humans are extroverts. Not that that should apply, but I have no scientific basis. If I was wandering the universe for a few trillion years, I'd be an extrovert too. Altruistic? Don't know to many, but I think I'll borrow a phrase: one in a million.

I don't really think that altruistic individuals are one in a million, but I'm going to be generous to prove a point.

So, for the moment, the odds that God cares about is 3 in 4 million.

Again, there is no way to say that God would fit human statistics, but 1/3 of the world's population is Muslim. Another fifth is Christian. If half of the Muslims, half of the Christians, and no one else is narrow minded than (1/3 + 1/5)/2 are the odds that God wants you to behave one way around him, to call him a certain name and adhere to a specific moral code.

(5/15 + 3/15)/2
(8/15)/2

4/15

So far, the odds of God caring are 3/4,000,000 A specific set of behaviors expected: 4/15 That's 1 in 5,000,000

How many people in the world have the power of communication? At least half. Again, this has nothing to do with the odds of an undefinable entity, but for the sake of argument, 50%

That's 1 in 10,000,000 odds.

You'd think, wouldn't you, that I'd be too discouraged to send such a mail, admitting that I'm wrong. Just the same, 1 in 10,000,000 don't scratch the odds of evolution, which this list takes for granted. (Since I don't believe that science will prove either way, I'd appreciate it if you didn't see this as a Creationist comment, simply a comparison of statistics.)



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